The website specifically utilizes the Monte Carlo simulation model to predict which team will most likely win the competition, and OG Esports is not one of them.
Can OG Esports win TI for a third time? Noxville lays down the statistics
Crowd favorites OG Esports only has a 3.22% chance of bagging the Aegis of the Champions this year according to the Noxville’s The International probability website.
With a 24.98% probability of getting 9th to 12th place, the model predicts that OG Esports will most likely fall out of the competition during the Main Event’s Upper and Lower Bracket matches.
China, led by PSG.LGD, is ahead of the TI10 competition
Meanwhile, 2021 WePlay! AniMajor champions and Chinese team PSG.LGD has the highest chance of becoming TI10 champions, with a 18.86% probability.
OG Esports N0tail too, believes PSG.LGD is one of the teams to watch out for in the upcoming Dota 2 tournament.
Even Evil Geniuses’ team captain Tal “Fly” Aizik thinks they’re “one of the toughest” out of all 18 qualified TI10 teams.
“I would love to have a rematch with PSG.LGD, since last time they 3-0’d us,” said Fly in an interview with ONE Esports.
Overall, China as a region sits on top of the charts with a 50.51% chance of winning The International 2021, according to Noxville’s probability website.
Noxville’s The International probability website currently bases its predictions on existing team-based skill metrics. The Dota 2 statistician promises he will update the rankings as soon as more information comes to light before TI10.